Housing Market Slow Down Or Bubble?

The talk of a housing bubble in the coming year seems to be at a fever pitch as rising mortgage rates continue to slow down an overheated real estate market. Over the past two years, home prices have appreciated at an unsustainable pace causing many to ask: are things just slowing down, or is a crash coming?

To answer this question, there are two things we want to understand. The first is the reality of the shift in today’s housing market. And the second is what experts are saying about home prices in the coming year.

The Reality of the Shift in Today’s Housing Market

The reality is we’re seeing an inflection point in housing supply and demand. According to realtor.com, active listings have increased more than 26% over last year, while showings from the latest ShowingTime Showing Index have decreased almost 17% from last year (see graph below). This is an inflection point for housing because, over the past two years, we’ve seen a massive amount of demand (showings) and not enough homes available for sale for the number of people that wanted to buy. That caused the market frenzy.

Today, supply and demand look very different, and the market is slowing down from the pace we’ve seen. This offers proof of the sudden slowdown so many people are feeling.

What Experts Are Saying About Home Prices in the Coming Year

Right now, most experts are forecasting home price appreciation in 2023, but at a much slower pace than the last two years. The average of the six forecasters below is for national home prices to appreciate by 2.5% in the coming year. Only one of the six is calling for home price depreciation.

When we look at the shift taking place along with what experts are saying, we can conclude the national real estate market is slowing down but is not a bubble getting ready to burst. This isn’t to say that a few overheated markets won’t experience home price depreciation, but there isn’t a case to be made for a national housing bubble.

Bottom Line

The real estate market is slowing down, and that’s causing many to fear we’re in a housing bubble. What we’ve experienced in the housing market over the past two years were historic levels of demand and constrained supply. That led to homes going up in value at a record pace. While some overheated markets may experience price depreciation in the short term, according to experts, the national real estate market will appreciate in the coming year.

If you have questions about buying or selling a home in Cobb County, or any of the surrounding areas, feel free to reach out to us and we will be happy to answer them!

Housing Market Slow Down Or Bubble? is available on Complete Realty Team. Learn more at: Complete Realty Team REALTORS Site

Work With An Agent For Expert Advice When Getting Your House Ready To Sell

In a market that’s shifting as fast as it is today, many homeowners wonder what, if anything, needs to be renovated before they sell their house. That’s where a trusted real estate professional comes in. They can help you think through today’s market conditions and how they impact what you should – and shouldn’t – do before selling your house.

Here are some considerations a professional will guide you through.

What You Need To Know About Your Local Market

Since the supply of homes for sale has increased so much this year, today’s buyers have more options than they had last year. That may mean you’re not able to ignore some of those repairs or cosmetic updates you could have skipped in previous months. As a recent article from realtor.com says:

“To stand out in the market, sellers should make their home attractive to buyers, which usually means some selective updates.”

The key word here is selective. Since it’s still a sellers’ market, focusing on a few key areas may be enough to make your house stand out from other options. And since inventory is still low overall, it’s also possible buyers may be willing to handle the renovations themselves once they move in. It all depends on buyer demand and the available inventory in your local area. For advice on what’s happening in your market and what to do to make your house show well, lean on a professional.

Not All Renovation Projects Are Equal

In addition to making sure your house makes a good first impression, you’ll also want to consider the return on your investment (ROI) for any renovations. According to the 2022 Remodeling Impact Report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), here are the projects that could net you the best return when you sell your house (see visual below):

Again, your real estate advisor is your best resource. When your agent comes to your house for a walk-thru and consultation, they’ll use their expertise to offer any insight into what you may need to repair, replace, or refinish. They also know what other sellers are doing before listing their homes and how buyers are reacting to those upgrades to help steer you in the right direction. As Dr. Jessica Lautz, Vice President of Demographics and Behavioral Insights for NAR, explains:

“This year, the winner was hardwood flooring. Hardwood floor refinishing and putting in new wood flooring had the most significant value, . . .”

How To Draw Buyer Attention to the Upgrades You’ve Made

For any projects you’ve already completed or for those you plan to do before listing, make sure your real estate professional knows. They’re not just an advisor to help you decide where to focus your efforts, they’re also skilled at highlighting any upgrades in your listing. That way, potential buyers know about the features that may help sell them on the house.

No matter what, contact a local real estate professional for expert advice on what work needs to be done and how to make it as appealing as possible to future buyers. Every home is different, so a conversation with your agent is mission-critical to make sure you make the right moves when selling this season.

Bottom Line

In today’s shifting market, it’s important to spend your time and money wisely when you’re getting ready to move. Let’s connect to find out where to focus your efforts before you sell.

The previous Post Work With An Agent For Expert Advice When Getting Your House Ready To Sell was first seen on CompleteRealtyTeam.com. Learn more at: Complete Realty Team RE Agents Blog

Complete Realty Team Answers: Realtor Fees, Are They Worth It?

Marietta, Georgia -

Marietta, Georgia based Complete Realty Team is reaching out to the local community to explain why realtor fees are actually worth it. Complete Realty Team has helped many residents of Marietta and the surrounding areas buy and sell homes. Learn more about the team at the following link: Marietta REALTORS®.

Ken Mandich, founder of Complete Realty Team, says, “While many people may bristle at the thought of having to pay a percentage as commission to their realtors, the truth is that this fee is completely worth it. Not only are there so many things a realtor can do for their clients that will ensure the property is sold for the highest price possible, it is also a fact that homes sold by experienced agents will sell for more than homes sold For Sale By Owner (FSBO). You have everything to gain by working with a realtor when you are looking to sell your home.”

There are a number of reasons why homes sold by realtors can go for bigger amounts than homes sold by owners. To begin with, any good realtor will know how to maximize the value of a home by sprucing it up where it is needed. They can recommend improvements that can boost the bottom line, which can ensure that any problems that could potentially become evident during the sale process are dealt with appropriately.

Realtors also commit to taking professional photographs of the homes being sold and they will only work with professional property photographers who know how to photograph each area of the property to ensure that it is beautifully represented. These photographs are not meant to deceive, but rather to allow potential buyers to see the home at the peak of its potential.

Good realtors will also help property owners decide on a listing price as well. They will conduct a straight-forward comparative market analysis (CMA) to examine all the homes that are currently on the market, pending or have recently been sold. They take into account all improvements made to the property and a number of other variables, ultimately arriving at the right price for the property and saving the owners the headache of having to decide on a price that may ultimately be inaccurate.

Once all of this is done, realtors also take on the job of marketing the property on the multiple listing service (MLS), which will display the property on other real estate platforms. This is an on-going job that requires up-to-date photos, descriptions, square footage measurements and more. It is also a process that is much more effective than placing a For Sale By Owner (FSBO) sign in the front yard.

When there are interested buyers, real estate agents will step in and handle negotiations, taking that stress off property owners. They will write up offers and counteroffers until a deal can be arrived at in the favor of the seller. At this point in the process, they also do a lot to counsel sellers on whether they should reject an offer, accept an offer or otherwise make a different choice. Once an agreement has been reached, real estate agents will take care of all the necessary preparations to finalize the sale. They will help prepare the property for appraisal, conduct the final walk-through, review the documents prepared by the lender or escrow agent and review the terms of the contract. Finally, they will help the seller finish off the process.

Mandich says, “This is just the tip of the iceberg as far as what realtors can do for you. There is a lot of stress involved when you are trying to sell your home, and working with the right realtor can ensure that you can skip the vast majority of any hassle your property sale may reveal. Of course, the final decision is wholly up to you, but good agents are often a safe place to land. Therefore, they are a worthwhile investment. If you are interested in selling your property and are thinking of working with a realtor, feel free to get in touch with us, and we would be glad to help!”

Those who want to learn more about Complete Realty Team and the host of services offered by the company should visit their website for more information. Ken Mandich encourages interested parties to get in touch with a representative of the company via phone or email. Complete Realty Team also maintains a social media presence and can be found on Facebook. Learn more about them here: Local REALTOR®.

Source: Complete Realty Team Answers: Realtor Fees, Are They Worth It?

Fewer Bidding Wars For Buyers In Areas

One of the top stories in recent real estate headlines was the intensity and frequency of bidding wars. With so many buyers looking to purchase a home and so few of them available for sale, fiercely competitive bidding wars became the norm during the pandemic – and it drove home prices up. If you tried to buy a house over the past two years, you probably experienced this firsthand and may have been outbid on several homes along the way.

But here’s the news you’ve been waiting for: data shows clear signs bidding wars are easing this year.

According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the average number of offers on recently sold homes has declined considerably over the past few months (see graph below):

The graph shows homes were seeing a high of around five offers earlier this year. But the latest data shows that average was down to just shy of three offers per recently sold home. This shift is happening largely because rising mortgage rates moderated buyer demand and slowed home sales, resulting in a growing supply of homes on the market. Essentially, more choices for buyers.

What This Means for You

If you put your home search on pause because you were outbid last year or because you didn’t want to deal with the peak intensity of bidding wars, you can breathe a welcome sigh of relief. While it’s still a sellers’ market, an uptick in inventory gives you a window of opportunity to jump back in. You may still be competing with some buyers, but it likely won’t be anything like it was just a few short months ago.

Bottom Line

If you put your plans on pause because of intense bidding wars in recent years, it may be time to kick off your home search. Today, bidding wars are easing and that may mean less competition for you as a buyer. If you’re serious about buying a home or making a move, let’s connect to get started today.

The previous blog post Fewer Bidding Wars For Buyers In Areas was originally seen on Complete Realty Team. See more at: The Complete Realty Team Site

What’s Happening Today With Home Prices?

One of the biggest questions people are asking right now is: what’s happening with home prices? There are headlines about ongoing price appreciation, but at the same time, some sellers are reducing the price of their homes. That can feel confusing and makes it more difficult to get a clear picture.

Part of the challenge is that it can be hard to understand what experts are saying when the words they use sound similar. Let’s break down the differences among those terms to help clarify what’s actually happening today.

• Appreciation is when home prices increase.
• Depreciation is when home prices decrease.
• Deceleration is when home prices continue to appreciate, but at a slower or more moderate pace.

Experts agree that, nationally, what we’re seeing today is deceleration. That means home prices are appreciating, just not at the record-breaking pace they have over the past year. In 2021, data from CoreLogic tells us home prices appreciated by an average of 15% nationwide. And earlier this year, that appreciation was upward of 20%. This year, experts forecast home prices will appreciate at a decelerated pace of around 10 to 11%, on average.

The graph below uses the latest data from CoreLogic to help tell the story of how home prices are decelerating, but not depreciating so far this year.

As the green bars show, home prices appreciated between 19-20% year-over-year from January to March. But over the last few months, the pace of that appreciation has decelerated to 18%. This means price growth is still climbing compared to last year but at a slower rate.

As the Monthly Mortgage Monitor from Black Knight explains:

“Annual home price growth dropped by nearly two percentage points . . . – the greatest single-month slowdown on record since at least the early 1970s. . . While June’s slowdown was record-breaking, home price growth would need to decelerate at this pace for six more months to drive annual appreciation back to 5%, a rate more in line with long-run averages.”

Basically, this means, while moderating, home prices are still far above the norm, and we’d have to see a lot more deceleration to even fall in line with more typical rates of home price growth. That’s still not home price depreciation.

The big takeaway is home prices haven’t fallen or depreciated nationwide, they’re just decelerating or moderating. While some unique and overheated markets may see declines, nationally, home prices are forecast to appreciate. And when we look at the country as a whole, none of the experts project home prices will net depreciate or fall. They’re all projecting ongoing appreciation.

Bottom Line

If you have questions about what’s happening with home prices in our local area, let’s connect.

The preceding Post What’s Happening Today With Home Prices? was first seen on Complete Realty Team. See more on: Complete Realty Team - Ken Mandich - Real Estate Agent ERA Sunrise Realty Blog

Growing Housing Inventory

If you’re thinking about buying a home, you likely have a lot of factors on your mind. You’re weighing your own needs against higher mortgage rates, today’s home prices, and more to try to decide if you want to jump into the market. While some buyers may wait things out, there’s a reason serious buyers are making moves right now, and that’s the growing number of homes for sale.

So far this year, housing inventory has been increasing and that’s making the prospect of finding your dream home less difficult. While there are always reasons you could delay making a big decision, there are also always reasons to consider moving forward. And having a growing number of options for your home search may be exactly what you needed to feel more confident in making a move.

What’s Causing Housing Inventory To Grow?

As new data comes out, we're getting an updated picture of why housing supply is increasing so much this year. As Bill McBride, Author of Calculated Risk, explains:

“We are seeing a significant change in inventory, but no pickup in new listings. Most of the increase in inventory so far has been due to softer demand - likely because of higher mortgage rates.”

Basically, the inventory growth is primarily from homes staying on the market a bit longer (known as active listings). And that’s happening because higher mortgage rates and home prices have helped moderate the peak frenzy of buyer demand.

The graph below uses data from realtor.com to show how much active listings have risen over the past five months as a result (shown in green):

Why This Growth Is Good News for You

Regardless of the source, the increase in available housing supply is good for buyers. More housing supply actively for sale means you have more options as your search for your next home. A recent article from realtor.com explains just how significant the inventory growth has been and why it’s good news for your plans to buy:

“Nationally, the inventory of homes actively for sale on a typical day in July increased by 30.7% over the past year, the largest increase in inventory in the data history and higher than last month’s growth rate of 18.7% which was itself record-breaking. This amounted to 176,000 more homes actively for sale on a typical day in July compared to the previous year and more choice for buyers who are still looking for a new home.”

The growth this year is certainly good news for you, especially if you’ve had trouble finding a home that meets your needs. If you start your search today, those additional options should make it less difficult to find a home than it would have been over the past two years.

Bottom Line

If you’re ready to jump into the market and take advantage of the increasing supply of homes for sale, get in touch with us today. The opportunity is knocking, will you answer?

Growing Housing Inventory was originally published on CompleteRealtyTeam.com. Learn more on: Complete Realty Team RE Agents Website

Low Housing Inventory Is Helping To Prevent A Real Estate Market Crash

Whether or not you owned a home in 2008, you likely remember the housing crash that took place back then. And news about an economic slowdown happening today may bring all those concerns back to the surface. While those feelings are understandable, data can help reassure you the situation today is nothing like it was in 2008.

One of the key reasons why the market won’t crash this time is the current undersupply of inventory. Housing supply comes from three key places:

• Current homeowners putting their homes up for sale
• Newly built homes coming onto the market
• Distressed properties (short sales or foreclosures)

For the market to crash, you’d have to make a case for an oversupply of inventory headed to the market, and the numbers just don’t support that. So, here’s a deeper look at where inventory is coming from today to help prove why the housing market isn’t headed for a crash.

Current Homeowners Putting Their Homes Up for Sale

Even though housing supply is increasing this year, there’s still a limited number of existing homes available. The graph below helps illustrate this point. Based on the latest weekly data, inventory is up 27.8% compared to the same week last year (shown in blue). But compared to the same week in 2019 (shown in the larger red bar), it’s still down by 42.6%.

So, what does this mean? Inventory is still historically low. There simply aren’t enough homes on the market to cause prices to crash. There would need to be a flood of people getting ready to sell their houses in order to tip the scales toward a buyers’ market. And that level of activity simply isn’t there.

Newly Built Homes Coming onto the Market

There’s also a lot of talk about what’s happening with newly built homes today, and that may make you wonder if we’re overbuilding. But home builders are actually slowing down their production right now. Ali Wolf, Chief Economist at Zonda, notes:

“It has become a very competitive market for builders where they are trying to offload any standing inventory.”

To avoid repeating the overbuilding that happened leading up to the housing crisis, builders are reacting to higher mortgage rates and softening buyer demand by slowing down their work. It’s a sign they’re being intentional about not overbuilding homes like they did during the bubble.

And according to the latest data from the U.S. Census, at today’s current pace, we’re headed to build a seasonally adjusted annual rate of about 1.4 million homes this year. While this will add more inventory to the market, it’s not on pace to create an oversupply because builders today are more cautious than the last time when they built more homes than the market could absorb.

Distressed Properties (Short Sales or Foreclosures)

The last place inventory can come from is distressed properties, including short sales and foreclosures. Back in the housing crisis, there was a flood of foreclosures due to lending standards that allowed many people to secure a home loan they couldn’t truly afford. Today, lending standards are much tighter, resulting in more qualified buyers and far fewer foreclosures. The graph below uses data from ATTOM Data Solutions on properties with foreclosure filings to help paint the picture of how things have changed since the crash:

This graph shows how in the time around the housing crash there were over one million foreclosure filings per year. As lending standards tightened since then, the activity started to decline. And in 2020 and 2021, the forbearance program was a further aid to help prevent a repeat of the wave of foreclosures we saw back around 2008.

That program was a game changer, giving homeowners options for things like loan deferrals and modifications they didn’t have before. And data on the success of that program shows four out of every five homeowners coming out of forbearance are either paid in full or have worked out a repayment plan to avoid foreclosure. These are a few of the biggest reasons there won’t be a wave of foreclosures coming to the market.

Bottom Line

Although housing supply is growing this year, the market certainly isn’t anywhere near the inventory levels that would cause prices to drop significantly. That’s why inventory tells us the housing market won’t crash.

If you have any questions about the local market in Cobb County, feel free to reach out to us anytime.

The post Low Housing Inventory Is Helping To Prevent A Real Estate Market Crash is available on Complete Realty Team. Discover more at: www.CompleteRealtyTeam.com

Cobb County Realtor® Ken Mandich Is Listing The Top Reasons To Use A Realtor® Sell Your Home

Marietta, Georgia -

Cobb County, GA, REALTOR® Ken Mandich is urging homeowners looking to sell their property to reconsider if they are planning on making the sale on their own. The REALTOR® is listing the benefits that come with enlisting the services of someone as experienced and as qualified as him and other Complete Realty Team REALTORS® in Marietta Georgia.

When a homeowner sells a home on their own, it is called an FSBO (For Sale By Owner) sale. The property owner assumes all the responsibilities that would generally be assigned to the real estate broker or agent. This involves handling all steps of putting a property up for sale and following through till the deal is closed including determining the home’s selling price based on factors such as its size, its features, and the rate at which other homes in the same neighborhood with the same number of bedrooms and square footage sold for.

The FSBO seller also has to take over the marketing to find a buyer, list the property on MLS (Multiple Listing Service), schedule appointments for home visits, stage the home to appeal to the buyer, negotiate the price when the offers come in, prepare all the legal documents including the deed to ensure full transfer of the rights to the property, and finally close the deal based on the laws of the state where the property is located.

It is very tempting for homeowners to go down the FSBO route because it can help them save money on the commission that the real estate broker must be paid for facilitating the deal. However, this is a trap as the statistics show a huge difference between the amount of money that homeowners expect to save and how much they finally end up saving.

For example, in a regular property deal where both the buyer and seller are using real estate agents, the commission, which is usually 5% to 6% is split between both. However, even when one party decides to save money by making an FSBO sale, they still must factor in the commission that has to be paid to the real estate broker representing the other party. So FSBO sellers only end up saving around half the money on commissions.

Moreover, according to statistics highlighted on Ken Mandich’s website, it has been shown through research into property sales figures that FSBO deals have a median selling price of approximately $24,000 lower than similar property deals which were handled by agents. This implies that property owners who opted for FSBO deals ended up saving a lot less money than they anticipated or, even worse, may have lost money while trying to save it.

Ken Mandich talks about the benefits of hiring a REALTOR® to oversee selling a property by saying, “Hiring a realtor to sell your house will ensure that it is priced at a value that is competitive with current market prices. They also have many more avenues to market the property listing. This enables them to find more buyers and, consequently, better offers for the property. Having a REALTOR® on one’s side will also give the property owner an upper hand in negotiations as they closely follow industry trends and have a good judgment on the intrinsic value of a desirable property. A REALTOR® also has a keen eye for interior design and knows what it takes to stage a property such that it instantly appeals to the target buyer. A dedicated professional will also be available full-time to talk with potential buyers and schedule site visits. Finally, apart from bringing years of pricing and negotiation experience to the table, a REALTOR® will also take over the paperwork involved to ensure that the sale is legal and binding. In short, a REALTOR® will work tirelessly to ensure that their client gets everything they deserve for their valuable property asset.”

Homeowners in Cobb County, GA, looking for reliable, knowledgeable, and local REALTORS® in Marietta can contact Ken Mandich at (404) 982-4559.

Source: Cobb County Realtor® Ken Mandich Is Listing The Top Reasons To Use A Realtor® Sell Your Home

Buyer Demand Is Moderating – What Sellers Need To Know

If you’re thinking about selling your house, you may have heard about the housing market slowing down in recent months. While it’s still a sellers’ market, the peak frenzy the market saw over the past two years has cooled some. If you’re asking yourself if you’ve missed your chance to sell your house and make a move, the good news is you haven’t – motivated buyers are still out there. But you do need to price your house right for today’s market. Here’s why.

As Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), says:

“Homes priced right are selling very quickly, but homes priced too high are deterring prospective buyers.”

It’s true buyer demand has slowed over the past few months as higher mortgage rates made it more expensive to buy a home. The result is fewer bidding wars and less competition among buyers (see visual below):

But don’t forget – that’s compared to the severely overheated market we saw over the past two years. According to the latest Confidence Index from NAR:

“. . . 39% of homes sold above list price, down from 51% a month ago and 50% a year ago.”

While this is a slower pace than even one month ago, serious buyers are still actively in the market, and they’re buying homes that are priced right. In fact, the Confidence Index also notes the average home is selling in just 14 days.

If you’re aiming to sell your house, be sure you’re working with your agent to price it for today’s housing market. As buyer demand softens, it’s important to understand this isn’t the same market as last year. It’s not even the same market as just a few months ago. But it is still a sellers’ market.

If you’re ready to sell your house, seek the advice of a real estate professional. In some cases, you’ll need to adjust your expectations accordingly to meet the market where it is today. Selma Hepp, Interim Lead, Deputy Chief Economist at CoreLogic, explains what’s happening and what it means when you sell:

“Signs of a broader slowdown in the housing market are evident, . . . This is in line with our previous expectations and given the notable cooling of buyer demand due to higher mortgage rates. . . . Nevertheless, buyers still remain interested, which is keeping the market competitive — particularly for attractive homes that are properly priced.”

Bottom Line

While the housing market has cooled from its overheated frenzy, it’s still a sellers’ market. Let’s connect so you understand what’s happening with buyer demand and home prices in our local area as you get ready to enter the market.

The post Buyer Demand Is Moderating – What Sellers Need To Know was first published to Complete Realty Team. Read more on: Complete Realty Team Real Estate Agents Blog

Is A Home Inspection That Important?

Short answer, YES! Unless you are very skilled in the construction trade, we highly recommend that you get a home inspection before purchasing that dream home.

Some Highlights

• If you’re buying a home, here’s what you should know about your home inspection and why it’s so important.
• A home inspection is a crucial step in the homebuying process. It assesses the condition of the home you plan to purchase so you can avoid costly surprises down the road.

Let’s connect so you have an expert on your side to guide you through the process.

The blog post Is A Home Inspection That Important? is courtesy of Complete Realty Team. Find more on: Complete Realty Team - Ken Mandich - REALTOR - ERA Sunrise Website

How Your Home Equity Might Be Able To Help With Your Retirement Goals

Whether you’ve just retired or you’re thinking about retirement, you may be considering your options and trying to picture a whole new stage of your life. And you’re not alone. Research from the Retirement Industry Trust Association (RITA) shows 10,000 Baby Boomers reach the typical retirement age (65) every day, and only 47% of the people in that generation have already retired.

If this sounds like you, one thing worth considering is whether or not your current home will suit your new lifestyle. If your home doesn’t have the features or benefits you’re looking for, the good news is, you may be in a better position to move than you realize.

That’s because, if you already own a home, you’ve likely built-up significant equity, and that can help you fuel your next move. According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR):

“A homeowner who purchased a typical home five years ago would have gained $125,300 from just price appreciation alone.”

In fact, over the last twelve months, CoreLogic reports the average homeowner in the United States gained roughly $64,000 in equity due to home price appreciation.

You can use your equity to help you achieve your homeownership goals. Whether you want to downsize, move closer to loved ones, or buy a home in a dream destination, your equity can help get you there. It may be some (if not all) of what you’d need as your down payment on a home that better fits your changing needs.

To find out how much equity to have in your home, reach out to a trusted real estate professional today.  

Bottom Line

Retirement is a big step and so is buying or selling a home. As you move into this new phase of life, let's connect so you have an expert to guide you through the process as you sell your current home and give you expert advice as you buy one that’ll better suit your needs.

The Blog Post How Your Home Equity Might Be Able To Help With Your Retirement Goals was first published to CompleteRealtyTeam.com. Read more at: Complete Realty Team REALTORS Website

Increase In 2022 Home Price Projections By The Experts

If you’re wondering if home prices are going to come down due to the cooldown in the housing market or a potential recession, here’s what you need to know. Not only are experts forecasting home prices will continue to appreciate nationwide this year, but most of them also actually increased their projections for home price appreciation from their original 2022 forecasts (shown in green in the chart below):

As the chart shows, most sources adjusted up, and now call for more appreciation in 2022 than they originally projected this January. But why are experts so confident the housing market will see ongoing appreciation? It’s because of supply and demand in most markets. As Bankrate says:

“After all, supplies of homes for sale remain near record lows. And while a jump in mortgage rates has dampened demand somewhat, demand still outpaces supply, thanks to a combination of little new construction and strong household formation by large numbers of millennials.”

Knowing that experts forecast home prices will continue to appreciate in most markets and that they’ve actually increased their original projections for this year should help you answer the question: will home prices fall? According to the latest forecasts, experts are confident prices will continue to appreciate this year, although at a more moderate rate than they did in 2021.

Bottom Line

If you’re worried home prices are going to decline, rest assured many experts raised their forecasts to say they’ll continue to appreciate in most markets this year. If you have questions about what’s happening with home prices in our local area, let's connect.

The post Increase In 2022 Home Price Projections By The Experts was originally published on Complete Realty Team. See more at: Complete Realty Team Agents Website

What Effect Would A Recession Have On The Housing Market?

According to a recent survey from the Wall Street Journal, the percentage of economists who believe we’ll see a recession in the next 12 months is growing. When surveyed in July 2021, only 12% of economists consulted thought there’d be a recession by now. But this July, when polled, 49% believe we will see a recession in the coming 12 months.

And as more recession talk fills the air, one concern many people have is: should I delay my homeownership plans if there’s a recession?

Here’s a look at historical data to show what happened in real estate during previous recessions to help prove why you shouldn’t be afraid of what a recession would mean for the housing market today.

A Recession Doesn’t Mean Falling Home Prices

To show that home prices don’t fall every time there’s a recession, it helps to turn to historical data. As the graph below illustrates, looking at the recessions going all the way back to 1980, home prices appreciated in four of the last six recessions. So, historically, when the economy slows down, it doesn’t mean home values will fall.

Most people remember the housing crisis in 2008 (the larger of the two red bars in the graph above) and think another recession would repeat what happened then. But this housing market isn’t about to crash. The fundamentals are very different today than they were in 2008. So, don’t assume we’re heading down the same path.

A Recession Means Falling Mortgage Rates

Research also helps paint the picture of how a recession could impact the cost of financing a home. As the chart below shows, historically, each time the economy slowed down, mortgage rates decreased.

Fortune explains that mortgage rates typically fall during an economic slowdown:

“Over the past five recessions, mortgage rates have fallen an average of 1.8 percentage points from the peak seen during the recession to the trough. And in many cases, they continued to fall after the fact as it takes some time to turn things around even when the recession is technically over.”

And while history doesn’t always repeat itself, we can learn from and find comfort in the historical data.

Bottom Line

There’s no doubt everyone remembers what happened in the housing market in 2008. But you don’t need to fear the word recession if you’re planning to buy or sell a home. According to historical data, in most recessions, home price gains have stayed strong, and mortgage rates have declined.

If you’re thinking about buying or selling a home, let’s connect so you have expert advice on what’s happening in the housing market and what that means for your homeownership goals.

The previous article What Effect Would A Recession Have On The Housing Market? was originally seen on CompleteRealtyTeam.com. Find more on: Complete Realty Team Agents Site

Reports Show The Homeownership Rate Is Growing In The U.S.

The desire to own a home is still strong today. In fact, according to the Census, the U.S. homeownership rate is on the rise. To illustrate the increase, the graph below shows the homeownership rate over the last year:

That data shows more than half of the U.S. population live in a home they own, and the percentage is growing with time.

If you’re thinking about buying a home this year, here are just a few reasons why so many people see the value of homeownership.

Why Are More People Becoming Homeowners?

There are several benefits to owning your home. A significant one, especially when inflation is high like it is today, is that homeownership can help protect you from rising costs. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), explains:

“In the 1970s, when inflation was running around 10%, home prices were rising at approximately the same rate. Renters actually have a harder time in inflationary periods, because rents tend to rise along with inflation, whereas mortgage payments stay the same for homeowners with fixed-rate mortgages.”

When you buy a home with a fixed-rate mortgage, you can lock in what’s likely your biggest monthly expense – your housing payment – for the duration of that loan, often 15-30 years.

That gives you a predictable monthly housing expense that can benefit you in the short term, but you’ll also gain equity over time as your home appreciates in value and you make your monthly mortgage payment.

And with that growing equity, your net worth will increase as well. In fact, the latest data from NAR shows the median household net worth of a homeowner is roughly $300,000, while the median net worth of renters is only about $8,000. That means a homeowner’s net worth is nearly 40 times that of a renter.

Bottom Line

The U.S. homeownership rate is growing. If you’re ready to purchase the home of your dreams, let’s connect so you can begin the homebuying process today.

The preceding article Reports Show The Homeownership Rate Is Growing In The U.S. was originally published to Complete Realty Team. Learn more on: Ken’s Website From Complete Realty Team